Determining fire regimens and droughts using satellite and meteorological information for Córdoba, Argentina
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Abstract
The climate inthe province of Córdoba has suitable conditions for the occurrence of firesannually. The impact of current drought and preceding humidity conditions on fire activity was analyzed and modeled for the main eco-regions of the center of the country by using the Palmer Drought Severity Index (PDSI). A statistically significant relationship was observed between fires and droughts forthe same season, while preceding weather conditions played a relatively minor role, depending on the region. A fire frequency map for the period 2001-2020 was created from the MODIS burned area product MCD64A1.The mountain region was the most affected in terms of burned area andthe fire frequency ranged from 1 to 6 times. Furthermore, the models presented here estimated a positive response of fire occurrence to higher humidity conditions in the previous year. The Bañadosdel Río Dulce region had the highest fire occurrence and frequency, with sites burnedup to 11 times. The models presented for the individual eco-regions are robust enough for developing a seasonal forecasting system to support fire management strategies.
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