Argentina’s Exchange Rate Policy between 2016 and 2019. Context and possible scenarios from a Political Economy Perspective

Authors

  • Juan Miguel Massot Universidad del Salvador (Argentina)

Keywords:

Exchange rate regimes; inflation targeting; macroeconomic policy; Argentina

Abstract

The rapid succession of nontrivial changes in Argentina’s exchange rate policy poses questions both on the motives which caused those changes and the effectiveness of the current regime to achieve macroeconomic objectives. Regarding this matter, this essay examines the sustainability of the managed flexible exchange rate policy currently in force in the country between December 2015 and the primary elections on August 2019, and the viability of adopting a fixed exchange rate for a certain period. The approach adopted for the analysis is that political economy of exchange rates regimes under external constraints on economic growth. At the ending date of this research, August 2019, it is concluded that a fixed exchange rate policy and a depreciated currency might be an option consistent with reaching the internal and external equilibrium of Argentinian economy until conditions are appropriate for the adoption of a flexible exchange rate regime.

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Documentos e informes

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Banco Central de la República Argentina (BCRA) (2019 a). Informe de Política Monetaria. Enero.

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International Monetary Fund (IMF) (2018 a). Argentina. Memorandum of Economic and Financial Policies, and Technical Memorandum of Understanding. June.

International Monetary Fund (IMF) (2018 b). Argentina. Memorandum of Economic and Financial Policies, and Technical Memorandum of Understanding. October.

Bases de datos

Banco Mundial. Worldwide Governance Indicators (WGI) Project. En: http://info.worldbank.org/governance/wgi/index.aspx#home. Fecha de extracción: 30/96/2019.

Banco Central de la República Argentina. Cotizaciones del dólar estadounidense. En: http://www.bcra.gob.ar/PublicacionesEstadisticas/Cotizaciones_por_fecha_2.asp [extraído el 25 de agosto de 2019].

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Artículos periodísticos

Sin autor. “Elecciones 2019. Alberto Fernández: ‘El dólar a 60 pesos está bien’ ”. En: [https://www.clarin.com/politica/alberto-fernandez-dolar-60-pesos-bien-_0_O8BwsSZoN.html] [extraído el 25 de agosto de 2019].

Burgo, E. (2019). Entrevista con el ministro de Hacienda. Hernán Lacunza: “No sirve tener reservas y un dólar que suba como un barrilete”. En: [https://www.clarin.com/economia/hernan-lacunza-sirve-tener-reservas-dolar-suba-barrilete-_0_b7_vPbwgT.html]. [Extraído el 25 de agosto de 2019]

Published

2020-01-12

How to Cite

Massot, J. M. . (2020). Argentina’s Exchange Rate Policy between 2016 and 2019. Context and possible scenarios from a Political Economy Perspective. Actualidad Económica, 29(99). Retrieved from https://revistas.unc.edu.ar/index.php/acteconomica/article/view/27438